Full transparency
The Track Record
We grade ourselves in public — no cherry-picking, no deleting losers. No other AI pick site does this honestly.
10
Wins
10
Losses
50.0%
Win rate
+11.4%
ROI (flat 1u)
20
Pending
Win rate by confidence
Confident picks 5-6 · 45.5%Judge us on Strong & Solid leans. Toss-ups are coin-flips we post for fun and to keep learning — tracked honestly, but they should not define the record.
Strong5-3
Solid0-3
Lean2-1
Toss-up0-0
How the model learns
Calibration & self-tuning
Brier score 0.2866 (lower is sharper) across 20 graded picks. The model now self-corrects toward these results.
| We predicted | Picks | Actually hit |
|---|---|---|
| 50-55% | 1 | 100.0% |
| 55-60% | 2 | 50.0% |
| 60-65% | 3 | 33.3% |
| 65-70% | 5 | 40.0% |
| 70-80% | 5 | 40.0% |
| 80-100% | 4 | 75.0% |
By segment: worldcup 2-1 · mlb 3-9 · wnba 5-0 · Strong 5-3 · Solid 0-3 · Lean 2-1
Monthly performance
| Month | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
Latest results
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Model | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 70% | pending |
| 2026-06-20 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies | Pittsburgh Pirates | 69% | pending |
| 2026-06-20 | MLB | New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 71% | pending |
| 2026-06-20 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 55% | pending |
| 2026-06-20 | MLB | Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers | Chicago White Sox | 59% | pending |
| 2026-06-20 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 89% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | WNBA | Washington Mystics @ New York Liberty | New York Liberty | 82% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | WNBA | Toronto Tempo @ Connecticut Sun | Toronto Tempo | 80% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals | St. Louis Cardinals | 65% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 62% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | San Diego Padres @ Texas Rangers | San Diego Padres | 51% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies | Pittsburgh Pirates | 76% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | WORLDCUP | Morocco @ Scotland | Scotland | 51% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 54% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | WORLDCUP | Haiti @ Brazil | Brazil | 88% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros | Cleveland Guardians | 65% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers | Chicago White Sox | 59% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 65% | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 74% | pending |
| 2026-06-18 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox | Toronto Blue Jays | 54% | win |
| 2026-06-18 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals | St. Louis Cardinals | 63% | loss |
| 2026-06-18 | WORLDCUP | South Korea @ Mexico | Mexico | 56% | win |
| 2026-06-18 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 76% | pending |
| 2026-06-18 | MLB | New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 63% | loss |
| 2026-06-18 | MLB | Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 55% | loss |
| 2026-06-18 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 66% | loss |
| 2026-06-18 | MLB | Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 65% | loss |
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | Washington Mystics @ Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | 76% | win |
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | Seattle Storm @ Portland Fire | Portland Fire | 82% | win |
| 2026-06-17 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 79% | loss |
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | New York Liberty @ Chicago Sky | New York Liberty | 79% | win |
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | 81% | win |
| 2026-06-17 | WORLDCUP | Congo DR @ Portugal | Portugal | 80% | loss |
| 2026-06-16 | WNBA | Toronto Tempo @ Indiana Fever | Indiana Fever | 68% | win |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 79% | loss |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 65% | loss |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 67% | win |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 70% | loss |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 64% | win |
| 2026-06-16 | WORLDCUP | Algeria @ Argentina | Argentina | 82% | win |
Showing the most recent 40 graded picks. Full history rolls up into the monthly table above.
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